News: 01-30-2008 – Edwards NO kingmaker, Vermont traitors, and Middle East and Chinese snow
Posted by The Diatribe Guy on January 30, 2008
So two days after the whole idea that Edwards is eyeing a brokered convention in order to become Kingmaker and wield some power, the anticipation balloon has popped. I must admit to being a bit disappointed. You see, a month ago this was shaping up to be a dandy and potentially historical year. There seemed to be a real possibility of at least one, if not two, brokered conventions.
Imagine the excitement surrounding a convention where the delegates are voting, without knowing in advance who the nominee is! On the Republican side, we had Huckabee winning Iowa, McCain winning New Hampshire, and Romney taking care of business in Michigan, Wyoming, and Nevada. There was the prospect of a Giuliani win in Florida, and possibly even a Thompson win in South Carolina. But now McCain has won two states in a row, leading to a Super Tuesday that appears to have two viable candidates: McCain and Romney. The only possibility of a brokered convention is if Huckabee captures a few states next Tuesday. There are a couple states where this seems to be a distinct possibility, but even that may not be enough to cause the turmoil that was eagerly anticipated.
So, as hopes faded that the GOP would be awash in utter confusion, our dreams of history turned to the Democrats. Obama and Clinton have been clearly the top dogs jockeying for position here. But thanks to the proportional nature of pledged delegates, as long as Edwards continued to get some reasonably strong third place finishes, it looked like he could eat up enough delegates to prevent a majority of them being pledged if the race between Obama and Clinton stayed close. Reports as recent as two days ago suggested that this was Edwards’ strategy.
And then… poof. Giuliani and Edwards withdraw today. Not that I’m a fan of either, mind you. But I wanted a little history! Color me disappointed.
The only thing I have left is a situation where Obama finishes ahead of Clinton, but the Florida and Michigan delegates, which don’t count for the Democrats due to primary timing infractions, would be enough to push Clinton over the top. If that happens, expect a great deal of whining. I guess that could be fun.
In possibly the most ridiculous waste of time imaginable, Brattleboro, Vermont, will actually vote on a bill on March 4, basically saying that if Bush and/or Cheney enter the town, local police will arrest them for “crimes against the Constitution.”
OK, regardless of what your opinions are of Bush and Cheney – and I understand that there is a fair amount of disdain out there – come on!
It has been suggested that the President should make an appearance and see what transpires. Could make for good theatre.
But seriously, this is just stupid, and despite what you think of Bush, it is irreverent to the position. Opinions are one thing. Calling your Congressman is one thing. Calling for the arrest of the President? Quite another.
Very classy, guys. Hope you’re all proud. I’m sure you actually think you have a lot of support because you got a few e-mails from fellow hatemongers. But you look like two-year-olds.
As many have said, there are lies, damn lies, and statistics. Now, I won’t get into the details of the global warming debate here, but what I do know is that this winter is a good old-fashioned butt-kicking where I live. Heaps of snow, numerous blizzards, extreme cold, all that good stuff. Today, for example, the high temperature is -2 Fahrenheit. And I have taken stock of the entire winter – this is not an exceptional day, nor does it seem to be isolated to our parts. It has snowed in Baghdad for the first time in memory. Jerusalem got pelted today. Hundreds of thousands are stranded in China after blizzards have shut down key transportation. Siberia is ridiculously cold. And so on.
We are told that the world is still warming. Perhaps it has, but the argument is one of presenting one statistic and just riding that until the wave crashes. 1998, according to this article, is the warmest on record. I get confused, because some people tell me it was 2005. And 2007 was supposed to be, and started off warm, until a pesky cold snap brought it down to just above average. We have yet to hit that 1998 peak (which also always ignores the heat of the 1930s, but I digress). We are told that the last ten years is the warmest decade on record. I suppose next year, we’ll hear that the last 11 years is the warmest 11 years on record. It helps to get that warmest year in the data, after all.
Now, I am not debating the claim. But it still doesn’t explain why. But I have a little exercise for you. Draw a cyclical wave on a piece of paper. Notice how that wave increases and increases and increases until there is a peak. Then notice how it decreases. Divide that wave into increments. Imagine that it is temperature. What is the highest average of the last few periods. Hint: it is not at the peak. The highest average lags the peak because the temperatures on the downside of the peak are still as high as the temps just before the peak. It takes a while for the average to drop.
The main problem is this idea of looking at trend as a simple line, or imagining that it can only go in one direction. History shows this simply is not the case, yet it is the basic idea behind all these statements about how the earth is going to warn n degrees.
At any rate. We sure could use some.
I know science is not anecdotes. But the world is awash this year with enough of these stories that it becomes an exercise in frustration when they are all dismissed as an exception. To me, it is disingenuous, and only reinforces the idea that there is no room for debate.
China is being hammered by winter. Nearly 400,000 homes have literally been destroyed by the winter weather. Crops have been devastated. Nearly 500,000 people were stranded at one train station as they attempt to get home for the Chinese New Year.
Please offer them up in your prayers.