May 2008 Update on Global Temperature, Part 4 – NCDC Predicted Anomalies
Posted by The Diatribe Guy on May 29, 2008
So, I ran my little predictive algorithm against the NCDC data, and I thought I’d throw these out so that I can either be publicly humiliated or take credit where due.
The following table predicts future temperature anomalies based on the analysis of how X-month trend line slopes change using the NCDC data. It uses weighting factors going back 11 years. Here are the results:
|360-month||Average||Avg Excl Hi/Lo||Median|
So there you go. I’ll continue to track the results going forward to see how I do, and how far out this model seems to have predictive capability – if any.